Showing posts with label elections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label elections. Show all posts
8/30/08
2/28/08
Slate's Delegate Calculator Shows Daunting Clinton Task Ahead.
Great use of web HERE.
Using sliders, user can see pledged delegate counts that would result from different Democratic primary election results in all of the remaining primary states.
Even with a highly unlikely scenario, Obama still ends up with more pledged delegates. The scenario and results:
Using sliders, user can see pledged delegate counts that would result from different Democratic primary election results in all of the remaining primary states.
Even with a highly unlikely scenario, Obama still ends up with more pledged delegates. The scenario and results:
- Clinton beats Obama by 60% to 40% in 4 primaries Ohio, Texas, Pennsylvania, and Puerto Rico AND by 54% to 46% in ALL of the other primaries.
- Clinton ends up with 1,599 pledged delegates, but Obama STILL has more pledged delegates at 1,610.
- Both are short of the 2,025 delegates needed--that's where super delegates would come into play.
2/11/08
Democratic ELECTED Delegate Counts and Comparisons.
It is suprisingly difficult to find a breakout of elected delegate counts in the Democratic presidential contest. The Chicago Tribune Associated Press HERE has a breakout that shows total delegates, and super delegates, but NO count of the delegates elected in the primaries and caucuses.
SO.... I took the Feb 11, 2008 AP total delegate count and subtracted their super delegates to get a breakout of what I call elected delegates. The results of this comparison are available as a PDF HERE.
For the record--I am an Obama supporter and contributor.
SO.... I took the Feb 11, 2008 AP total delegate count and subtracted their super delegates to get a breakout of what I call elected delegates. The results of this comparison are available as a PDF HERE.
- Obama leads in the count of elected delegates 952 to 893, a 12% lead.
- Obama has a total of 20 states where he won the elected delegate count and Senator Clinton has 15 states where she won--i.e , he has won a third more states than she has.
For the record--I am an Obama supporter and contributor.
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